A friend writes....
When is the shoe going to drop? This is scary times. This talking head on TV was talking about short sellers as I watched the Market drop. But later on the Market started going up, not enough short sellers I guess. LOL. The Dow went from a Plus to a Minus to a Plus. Let's hope it stays plus for the remainder of the week. Our dollar is losing against the US dollar and people are worried about traveling because trips are costing more. On the other hand the British Columbia travel bureaus are rejoicing about the Cdn. dollar being low(US tourist). There is always someone who benefits from every type of market.
So, where are we going?
My response.....
Check out my recent posts under the "Stock Market" category to see where I think the market is headed now.... great thing about the blog, you can see all the posts in light of history to see how things worked out compared to my thinking at the time.
They used to blame automated trading programs a few years ago for market corrections. Sometimes it is the "evil short sellers" or "greedy speculators" to blame. But rest assured, the talking heads will blame somebody.
Yes the US dollar actually has done OK recently due to the fact that many of the other currencies and economies around the world are worse off than ours. But keep in mind that in real terms our economy is not that bad. The reason is that unemployment is still just 6.1% and we have not had a single quarter of negative growth in GDP. That may change soon as I believe the economy is getting weaker at this time.
Regarding short sellers, when proper safeguards are in place, such as the uptick rule and perhaps other rules are needed in light of electronic trading, then short selling actually helps to provide liquidity and stability to the marketplace. However, strict rules do need to be in place to ensure that those individuals or institutions with large sums of cash cannot simply drive a stock down to zero and a company out of business through manipulation.
No doubt that someone always benefits from varying market and economic conditions. But sometimes, such as in a real economic depression, a large part of the population does not do well. What we want is policies that promote capitalism, freedom, and a just legal system. That is what provides the most prosperity to the most people.
When tax burdens get too high fewer people will either want to or be able to start a business that will not only provide goods and services to others, but will also provide employment to those who need it. Corruption in businesses and in courts kills businesses too. When the corruption level gets too high the economy of that country will suffer for sure.
And situations feed on themselves. So for instance if the population is relatively wealthy and is in an environment where they have freedom to start businesses and can make a profit without excessive taxation then lots of businesses will be created and prosperity will continue.
But when a population finds itself with little capital (they are all poor) and little incentive or opportunity to create wealth through innovations and businesses then the population is likely to stay in the condition they are in until something big changes.... and that could be a long time if ever.
That's why those who are always trying to destroy the "rich" are trying to destroy those who have the capital to provide jobs and a middle class lifestyle for others. If I'm rich, but you want to punish me with excessive taxes for creating a successful business, then I'm less likely to do so. Some people don't get this.
In Barack Obama's world, you are "rich" if you run a small business and are making over $250,000 per year (LOL). You must be punished.
RWG
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